Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Game – Saturday, Oct. 5

Published 7:24 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

The South Alabama Jaguars (2-3) and Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) will face each other in a clash of Sun Belt foes at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. We have the odds and best bets for you below.

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When and Where is South Alabama vs. Arkansas State?

  • Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • City: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Arkansas State 30, South Alabama 28
  • South Alabama is -168 on the moneyline, and Arkansas State is +139.
  • South Alabama has been the moneyline favorite three total times this season. They’ve finished 1-2 in those games.
  • The Jaguars have played as a moneyline favorite of -168 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.
  • Arkansas State has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • The Red Wolves have not won as an underdog of +139 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Jaguars’ implied win probability is 62.7%.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Arkansas State (+3.5)

  • So far this year South Alabama has two victories against the spread.
  • This season, the Jaguars have one ATS win in two games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
  • Arkansas State has covered one time against the spread this year.
  • The Red Wolves have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in two chances).

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (62)
  • Three of South Alabama’s games this season have gone over Saturday’s total of 62 points.
  • There has not been a Arkansas State game this season with more combined scoring than Saturday’s over/under of 62.
  • South Alabama averages 40.6 points per game against Arkansas State’s 21.8, amounting to 0.4 points over the game’s over/under of 62.

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Key Stats Splits

South Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61 61.3 60.8
Implied Total AVG 37.8 41.5 35.3
ATS Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 2-0-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.2 66 49.8
Implied Total AVG 36.3 38 35.5
ATS Record 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

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