Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game – Saturday, Oct. 5

Published 7:24 pm Wednesday, October 2, 2024

The South Alabama Jaguars (2-3) and Arkansas State Red Wolves (2-2) will battle in a clash of Sun Belt opponents at Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Arkansas. We list the odds and best bets for you below.

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When and Where is South Alabama vs. Arkansas State?

  • Date: Saturday, October 5, 2024
  • Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • City: Jonesboro, Arkansas
  • Venue: Centennial Bank Stadium

South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Arkansas State 30, South Alabama 28
  • South Alabama is -165 on the moneyline, and Arkansas State is +137.
  • South Alabama has been the moneyline favorite three total times this season. They’ve finished 1-2 in those games.
  • The Jaguars have played as a moneyline favorite of -165 or shorter in just two games this season, and they split 1-1.
  • Arkansas State has lost both games it has played as underdogs this season.
  • The Red Wolves have been at least a +137 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Jaguars’ implied win probability is 62.3%.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Arkansas State (+3.5)

  • South Alabama has two wins versus the spread in five games this season.
  • This season, the Jaguars have one ATS win in two games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
  • Arkansas State has covered on one occasion against the spread this year.
  • This year, the Red Wolves have one ATS win in two games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (62)
  • South Alabama and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under of 62 points three times this season.
  • There has not been a Arkansas State game this season with more combined scoring than Saturday’s total of 62.
  • The over/under for the game of 62 is 0.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for South Alabama (40.6 points per game) and Arkansas State (21.8 points per game).

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Key Stats Splits

South Alabama

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 61 61.3 60.8
Implied Total AVG 37.8 41.5 35.3
ATS Record 2-3-0 1-1-0 1-2-0
Over/Under Record 2-3-0 2-0-0 0-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-2 1-1 0-1
Moneyline Underdog Record 1-1 0-0 1-1

Arkansas State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 55.2 66 49.8
Implied Total AVG 36.3 38 35.5
ATS Record 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-2-0 0-1-0 1-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

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