Thursday’s contest features the South Alabama Jaguars (11-4, 3-0 Sun Belt) and the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-4, 2-1 Sun Belt) squaring off at Mitchell Center in what should be a competitive matchup, with a projected 71-70 victory for South Alabama according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 8:00 PM ET on January 9.

Based on our computer prediction, Arkansas State is projected to cover the point spread (2.5) versus South Alabama. The two teams are expected to go over the 140.5 total.

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 9, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -2.5
• Point total: 140.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -132, Arkansas State +108

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South Alabama vs. Arkansas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 71, Arkansas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Arkansas State

• Pick ATS: Arkansas State (+2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)

South Alabama’s record against the spread this season is 9-4-0, and Arkansas State’s is 6-8-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Jaguars are 5-8-0 and the Red Wolves are 7-7-0. The teams combine to score 154.4 points per game, 13.9 more points than this matchup’s total. In the past 10 contests, South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Arkansas State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 matches.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars outscore opponents by 14.2 points per game (scoring 75.1 points per game to rank 189th in college basketball while allowing 60.9 per outing to rank eighth in college basketball) and have a +214 scoring differential overall.
• South Alabama ranks 278th in college basketball at 31.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 30.8 its opponents average.
• South Alabama hits 9.7 three-pointers per game (43rd in college basketball) at a 33.8% rate (183rd in college basketball), compared to the 11.4 per contest its opponents make while shooting 34.5% from deep.
• The Jaguars put up 102.8 points per 100 possessions (57th in college basketball), while giving up 83.3 points per 100 possessions (29th in college basketball).
• South Alabama has committed 7.9 turnovers per game (first in college basketball action), 6.1 fewer than the 14.0 it forces on average (50th in college basketball).

Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves put up 79.3 points per game (86th in college basketball) while allowing 70.4 per contest (154th in college basketball). They have a +133 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 8.9 points per game.
• The 37.9 rebounds per game Arkansas State accumulates rank 12th in the nation, 1.3 more than the 36.6 its opponents grab.
• Arkansas State connects on 9.2 three-pointers per game (73rd in college basketball), 2.7 more than its opponents. It shoots 32.3% from beyond the arc (258th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.7%.
• Arkansas State has committed 11.0 turnovers per game (136th in college basketball), 1.7 fewer than the 12.7 it forces (122nd in college basketball).

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