Saturday’s contest between the South Alabama Jaguars (13-5, 5-1 Sun Belt) and the Troy Trojans (11-6, 4-2 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 70-67 based on our computer prediction, with South Alabama taking home the win. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on January 18.

According to our computer prediction, Troy projects to cover the 3.5-point spread in its matchup against South Alabama. The over/under has been set at 129.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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South Alabama vs. Troy Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -3.5
• Point total: 129.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -166, Troy +138

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South Alabama vs. Troy Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 70, Troy 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Troy

• Pick ATS: Troy (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (129.5)

South Alabama’s record against the spread so far this season is 11-5-0, while Troy’s is 9-6-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Jaguars are 6-10-0 and the Trojans are 7-8-0. The two teams score an average of 148.6 points per game, 19.1 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall over the last 10 contests. Troy has gone 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 games.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars outscore opponents by 12.9 points per game (scoring 74.5 points per game to rank 200th in college basketball while giving up 61.6 per outing to rank eighth in college basketball) and have a +233 scoring differential overall.
• South Alabama records 30.9 rebounds per game (276th in college basketball) compared to the 31.9 of its opponents.
• South Alabama connects on 9.8 three-pointers per game (39th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents (11.1).
• The Jaguars score 101.6 points per 100 possessions (67th in college basketball), while giving up 84 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball).
• South Alabama has committed 5.1 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 8.1 (first in college basketball play) while forcing 13.2 (74th in college basketball).

Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans put up 74.1 points per game (208th in college basketball) while giving up 66.5 per outing (57th in college basketball). They have a +129 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 7.6 points per game.
• The 34.5 rebounds per game Troy accumulates rank 90th in the nation, 6.4 more than the 28.1 its opponents record.
• Troy knocks down 7.2 three-pointers per game (233rd in college basketball), while its opponents have made 6.8 on average.
• Troy has come up short in the turnover battle by 1.1 per game, committing 14.4 (345th in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (69th in college basketball).

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