Saturday’s contest features the Troy Trojans (11-7, 4-3 Sun Belt) and the South Alabama Jaguars (14-5, 6-1 Sun Belt) clashing at Trojan Arena in what should be a tight matchup, with a projected 69-67 win for Troy according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on January 25.

According to our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the point spread (3.5) against Troy. The two sides are expected to eclipse the 130.5 total.

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Troy vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 25, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Troy, Alabama
• Venue: Trojan Arena
• Line: Troy -3.5
• Point total: 130.5
• Moneyline (to win): Troy -168, South Alabama +136

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Troy vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Troy 69, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Troy vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (130.5)

Troy has a 10-6-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to South Alabama, who is 11-6-0 ATS. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Trojans are 7-9-0 and the Jaguars are 6-11-0. The two teams score an average of 147.4 points per game, 16.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Troy has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in the last 10 contests. South Alabama has gone 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games.

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Troy Performance Insights

• The Trojans have a +128 scoring differential, topping opponents by 7.1 points per game. They’re putting up 73.5 points per game to rank 217th in college basketball and are allowing 66.4 per outing to rank 50th in college basketball.
• Troy is 76th in the country at 34.7 rebounds per game. That’s 6.6 more than the 28.1 its opponents average.
• Troy knocks down 7.3 three-pointers per game (230th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.1 on average.
• The Trojans rank 232nd in college basketball with 93.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 29th in college basketball defensively with 84.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Troy has committed 14.3 turnovers per game (345th in college basketball play) while forcing 13.3 (64th in college basketball).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars put up 73.9 points per game (209th in college basketball) while giving up 61.6 per contest (ninth in college basketball). They have a +234 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 12.3 points per game.
• South Alabama ranks 278th in college basketball at 30.8 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 fewer than the 32.3 its opponents average.
• South Alabama connects on 9.9 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents.
• South Alabama has won the turnover battle by 4.8 per game, committing 8.4 (first in college basketball) while forcing 13.2 (72nd in college basketball).

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