At Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29, the Atlanta Falcons meet the New Orleans Saints, beginning at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Saints should win, based on our computer model — continue scrolling to find more tips regarding the point spread, over/under and even the final score.

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The Falcons are averaging 16.3 points per game on offense this year (26th in NFL), and they are giving up 20.3 points per game (13th) on defense. The Saints have dominated on both sides of the ball this season, ranking second-best in points per game (34.3) and fifth-best in points surrendered per game (14.7).

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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
• New Orleans has won two games against the spread this year.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• This season, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
• The average total points scored in Saints games this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Falcons Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Falcons a 60.8% chance to win.
• Atlanta has covered once in three matchups with a spread this season.
• The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
• So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have gone over the point total.
• The over/under in this matchup is 41 points, 4.2 fewer than the average total in this season’s Falcons contests (playoffs included).

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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights

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