On Monday, Oct. 7 at 8:15 p.m. ET, the Kansas City Chiefs will face the New Orleans Saints at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Chiefs will earn a victory — see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Chiefs are compiling 328.3 yards per game on offense (15th in NFL), and they rank 13th on defense with 326.8 yards allowed per game. The Saints’ offense has been consistently moving the chains, compiling 31.8 points per contest (best) this season. Defensively, they rank seventh by giving up 17.5 points per game.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 33.3%.
• New Orleans has covered three times in four chances against the spread this season.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 5.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• In New Orleans’ four contests this year, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
• The average total for Saints games is 44.9 points, 1.9 more than this game’s over/under.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Chiefs a 71.4% chance to win.
• Kansas City has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
• The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Kansas City games have hit the over twice this season.
• Chiefs games average 45.4 total points per game this season (playoffs included), 2.4 greater than the over/under for this matchup.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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