Based on our computer model, the New Orleans Saints will defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when they square off at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Oct. 13 (at 1 p.m. ET). We have more projections, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available in this article.

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The Buccaneers are compiling 25.4 points per game on offense (10th in NFL), and they rank 17th on defense with 22.8 points allowed per game. The Saints’ offense has been dominant, compiling 28 points per contest (fourth-best) this season. On defense, they rank eighth by allowing 19.2 points per game.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 40.0%.
• New Orleans has won three games against the spread this season, failing to cover twice.
• The Saints have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• In 2024, three New Orleans games have hit the over.
• This season, Saints games have resulted in an average scoring total of 44.5, which is 2.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

• The Buccaneers have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
• Tampa Bay is 3-2-0 ATS this season.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread once this season (1-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total three out of five times this season.
• The over/under in this matchup is 42 points, 2.1 fewer than the average total in this season’s Buccaneers contests (postseason included).

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

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