Sunday’s contest at Texas A&M-Commerce Field House has the South Alabama Jaguars (6-3) squaring off against the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions (1-9) at 12:00 PM (on December 15). Our computer prediction projects a 73-67 victory for South Alabama, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Texas A&M-Commerce is projected to cover the spread (8.5) against South Alabama. The two sides are projected to go over the 134.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
• Time: 12:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Commerce, Texas
• Venue: Texas A&M-Commerce Field House
• Line: South Alabama -8.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -400, Texas A&M-Commerce +310

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South Alabama vs. Texas A&M-Commerce Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 73, Texas A&M-Commerce 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Texas A&M-Commerce

• Pick ATS: Texas A&M-Commerce (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

South Alabama’s record against the spread so far this season is 4-4-0, while Texas A&M-Commerce’s is 4-6-0. The Jaguars are 4-4-0 and the Lions are 3-7-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams average 136.5 points per game, 2.0 more points than this matchup’s total.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars are outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game with a +66 scoring differential overall. They put up 73.4 points per game (231st in college basketball) and allow 66.1 per outing (61st in college basketball).
• South Alabama pulls down 30.6 rebounds per game (291st in college basketball) compared to the 31.4 of its opponents.
• South Alabama knocks down 9.7 three-pointers per game (52nd in college basketball), 3.1 fewer than its opponents (12.8). It is shooting 32.5% from deep (234th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 37.7%.
• The Jaguars’ 99.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 114th in college basketball, and the 89.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 167th in college basketball.
• South Alabama has won the turnover battle by 3.7 turnovers per game, committing 8.7 (seventh in college basketball play) while forcing 12.4 (163rd in college basketball).

Texas A&M-Commerce Performance Insights

• The Lions put up 63.1 points per game (347th in college basketball) while giving up 79.2 per contest (335th in college basketball). They have a -161 scoring differential and have been outscored by 16.1 points per game.
• Texas A&M-Commerce ranks 353rd in college basketball at 26.9 rebounds per game. That’s 6.0 fewer than the 32.9 its opponents average.
• Texas A&M-Commerce hits 7.5 three-pointers per game (218th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.1 on average.
• Texas A&M-Commerce has had more turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 17.2 per game (362nd in college basketball) while forcing 13.3 (103rd in college basketball).

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