Thursday’s contest that pits the South Alabama Jaguars (9-4, 1-0 Sun Belt) against the Georgia State Panthers (4-9, 0-1 Sun Belt) at Georgia State Convocation Center has a projected final score of 73-69 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of South Alabama, who is a slight favorite in this matchup according to our model. Game time is at 7:00 PM ET on January 2.

According to our computer prediction, Georgia State projects to cover the 7.5-point spread in its matchup versus South Alabama. The over/under is listed at 139.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: Georgia State Convocation Center
• Line: South Alabama -7.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -319, Georgia State +245

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South Alabama vs. Georgia State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 73, Georgia State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Georgia State

• Pick ATS: Georgia State (+7.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)

South Alabama has a 7-4-0 record against the spread this season compared to Georgia State, who is 5-7-0 ATS. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Jaguars are 5-6-0 and the Panthers are 5-7-0. The two teams average 146.2 points per game, 6.7 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, South Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. Georgia State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 2-8 overall in its last 10 matches.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars’ +159 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 12.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 74.9 points per game (206th in college basketball) while allowing 62.7 per contest (20th in college basketball).
• The 30.7 rebounds per game South Alabama averages rank 290th in the country. Its opponents grab 31.0 per outing.
• South Alabama connects on 9.7 three-pointers per game (45th in college basketball), 2.1 fewer than its opponents (11.8). It is shooting 33.6% from deep (194th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 35.7%.
• The Jaguars rank 69th in college basketball by averaging 102.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 77th in college basketball, allowing 85.7 points per 100 possessions.
• South Alabama wins the turnover battle by 5.3 per game, committing 8.2 (first in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.5.

Georgia State Performance Insights

• The Panthers’ -101 scoring differential (being outscored by 7.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.3 points per game (279th in college basketball) while giving up 79.1 per contest (334th in college basketball).
• Georgia State wins the rebound battle by 3.8 boards on average. It collects 35.4 rebounds per game, 68th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.6.
• Georgia State knocks down 6.6 three-pointers per game (290th in college basketball) while shooting 31.5% from deep (286th in college basketball). It is making 1.5 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 8.1 per game at 31.1%.
• Georgia State has committed 2.6 more turnovers than its opponents, averaging 12.6 (272nd in college basketball) while forcing 10.0 (325th in college basketball).

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